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The Fidelity Contrafund was founded in "to take a contrarian view, investing in out-of-favor stocks or sectors",  but over time has abandoned this strategy to become a large cap growth fund. Contrarians are attempting to exploit some of the principles of behavioral finance , and there is significant overlap between these fields.
For example, studies in behavioral finance have demonstrated that investors as a group tend to overweight recent trends when predicting the future; a poorly performing stock will remain bad, and a strong performer will remain strong. This lends credence to the contrarian's belief that investments may drop "too low" during periods of negative news, due to incorrect assumptions by other investors, regarding the long-term prospects for the company.
Furthermore, Foye and Mramor find that country-specific factors have a strong influence on measures of value such as the book-to-market ratio. This leads them to conclude that the reasons why value stocks outperform are both country-specific and behavioral. From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia. Investment Strategy.
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Please help to improve this article by introducing more precise citations. February Learn how and when to remove this template message. Retrieved 15 June The Art of Contrary Thinking. ISBN The Motley Fool. Financial markets. Primary market Secondary market Third market Fourth market. Common stock Golden share Preferred stock Restricted stock Tracking stock. Authorised capital Issued shares Shares outstanding Treasury stock. Electronic communication network List of stock exchanges Trading hours Multilateral trading facility Over-the-counter Dark pool private exchange.
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Views Read Edit View history. Help Learn to edit Community portal Recent changes Upload file. Download as PDF Printable version. Look up contrarian investing in Wiktionary, the free dictionary. For example, in , Greece was about to implode and take down the euro with it and Spain was set to do the same.
Turkey once saw violent anti-government riots in early summer. Yet the Turkish market has soared that autumn. Of course, my track record is hardly perfect. After all, the Economist ran this cover story on India on Aug. Once all of the good news is out, the stock is destined to underperform. The reverse holds for negative stories. An academic study back in by three finance professors at the University of Richmond put the magazine cover story indicator to the test — specifically as it focuses on coverage of individual companies.
The professors culled headlines from stories in Business Week , Fortune and Forbes for a year period to examine whether positive cover stories are associated with superior future performance and negative stories are associated with inferior future performance. First, there were a lot more positive stories than negative ones for the same reasons that stockbrokers issue more buy than sell recommendations. Investors like reading about success stories.
Second, positive cover stories tended to appear following periods of strongly positive performance, while negative stories followed very poor returns. The companies that received the most positive coverage had, on average, outperformed the index by Those companies suffering negative coverage, in contrast, had underperformed by The more important question is how the stock prices performed after the cover stories appeared. The most negatively portrayed companies managed to beat the market by an average of The conclusion?
Negative stories often come right at the time of a turnaround. Again, I merely applied the same logic to the individual country exchange-traded funds ETFs represented by the negative headlines or cover stories to my own investing. The study confirmed that it is better to bet against journalists than alongside them. They are writing cover stories to sell magazines. From an investment standpoint, however, when a company or financial trend is featured on a magazine cover, the chances are that the trend is already widely known, and is already reflected in the stock price.
The news stories about Ireland were still almost uniformly negative. And I bet most of my subscribers were skeptical of betting on Ireland.